Are Preowned Biz Aircraft Prices Going Up?
Western Aviation Team • July 5, 2021

July 5, 2021

by Jay Mesinger

In every “room” either wedged in the corner, hiding in an adjacent closet, or perhaps under the rug, there is an elephant. For us in the business aviation industry, our elephant centers on the pricing of aircraft.

As I spend more and more time on industry webinars and podcasts, this elephant is always sharing the space. These opportunities to get together with hundreds of my fellow sales professionals and other segment industry leaders is perhaps one of the best-ever methods of sharing and learning how to address it.

Are prices of preowned aircraft going up? Is the scarcity of available inventory causing price hikes? Does the preowned market follow suit with other inflationary products that in many cases have been spurred on by supply chain issues?

Here are a couple of quick facts that often lead the reasoning behind the discussion. Inventory of preowned business aircraft is 6.6 percent of the available fleet—the lowest availability in 25 years. Next, in the first four months of 2021, there have been 864 preowned transactions, up 36 percent from a year ago.

Many of you are nodding your head and saying I told you so. The facts don’t lie—prices  must  be going up based on just those two facts, right?

A couple of counters to those statistics—6.6 percent is still not a bad percentage of choices, even though a bit lower than you might like. And having an increase of 36 percent over the same period last year is a bit misleading since the first four months of 2020 had us all grappling with the early pandemic when most deals were unwinding rather than going forward.

Some markets do have fewer good choices, so when a buyer finds that unique airplane that just perfectly fits their needs, they may be compelled to pay the asking price or very close to that. I would be very careful as a seller to say, “Oh, that was too easy, let’s get a bidding war going and get even more.” May I remind you that sometimes the first offer is the best offer, and yes, sometimes that happens even on day one of a listing?

The rules of smart engagement have not changed even in today’s market. If you can find a buyer who can really perform and you can identify their qualifications, engage! I promise not all buyers are built alike and not all can really finish as promised.

Look for the buyers to have qualified representation, good legal counsel, and acts on each step as directed by the LOI, including a timely placement of the deposit into the title company. Do not lose precious time with a non-performing buyer.

So here are my takeaways. Do not go with the idea that prices are rising and maybe this is not the best time to buy. We as an industry do not want to create a fence-sitting clientele.

We also do not want to lead our clients into a seller’s market where they will be forced to overpay. That will only happen to those buyers who are being led into this market by people who are more concerned with making the sale than having the shared patience to find the right airplane and the right price for their clients.

Understand that patience is a virtue and you must be prepared to wait while your trusted sales professional works their market magic to find the best airplane. On the other hand, be prepared to act immediately when the right plane comes along. It may be day 90 or it just might be day two. Get all your tax planning and partner arrangements in place before you start the hunt.

One thing that has changed during this pandemic is that the image of our industry has continued to be strong and in fact might even be better. That is huge for us all as we work every day to build our businesses.

By David Fisher • October 16, 2026
Engines can be half the collateral. How engine programs, reserves and covenants turn maintenance risk into something a lender can price.
By David Fisher • October 16, 2026
Every aircraft loan rests on a number. The question is whether that number describes the aircraft actually sitting in the hangar, or an average aircraft of the same make, model and year. Published value guides and asking prices are useful starting points. They are not collateral analysis. Two business jets with the same model year and similar total time can be hundreds of thousands of dollars apart once engine status, inspection timing, avionics, damage history and records quality are accounted for. A lender who advances against the average is lending against an aircraft it does not own a lien on. Three values, three questions A lender-grade appraisal should state more than one value, because a lender faces more than one scenario. Fair Market Value (FMV) is the most probable price between a willing buyer and a willing seller, neither under compulsion, with adequate marketing time. It answers: what is this asset worth in a normal sale? Orderly Liquidation Value (OLV) assumes a seller under some pressure but with a reasonable exposure period, typically 90 to 180 days with a competent broker. It answers: what do we recover if we have to sell? Forced Liquidation Value (FLV) assumes an auction-style sale under severe time constraint, often within 30 to 45 days. It is the floor. The gap between FMV and OLV is material and varies by model. Large-cabin jets with deep global buyer pools tend to show narrower gaps. Light jets, niche configurations and aging or orphaned types show wider ones. That gap, not the headline FMV, is where credit risk lives. The practical guidance is simple: price advance rates against OLV, then manage the distance to FMV with reserves, covenants and periodic value tests. Every value in the report should carry its assumptions in writing: marketing period, inspection contingencies, and whether the aircraft is valued as-is or airworthy. Serial-number specifics Within one make, model and year, the serial number drives the variance. A credible report itemizes the adjustments rather than burying them in a single conclusion: Prior use: Part 91 private versus Part 135 charter, high-cycle shuttle work, or specialized roles such as EMS or offshore. Environment and storage: corrosion exposure, climate, hangar habits. Maintenance provider quality and the time remaining to major events. Engine program enrollment, coverage level and transferability. Avionics relevance: ADS-B Out, WAAS/LPV, FANS/CPDLC, connectivity, and whether the suite is still OEM-supported. Damage history and the quality and documentation of repairs. Records completeness, including back-to-birth traceability for life-limited parts. If an appraisal cannot show how each of these moved the number, the lender cannot defend the number to credit committee, to an auditor, or later in a workout. Seven questions before approval Before a file goes to committee, the underwriter should be able to answer: Has the aircraft been appraised by a credentialed, independent appraiser using current transactions, not only book values? Are the airframe, engine and APU logbooks complete, original and continuous? Is the aircraft current on required inspections, ADs and applicable service bulletins, and are any discrepancies deferred? What is the borrower's operating profile: Part 91 or 135, expected annual hours, hangared and professionally managed or not? Are the engines on a manufacturer or third-party program, at what coverage level, and is it current and transferable? Is there damage history, and was it repaired at an authorized facility with complete engineering data? How liquid is the market for this specific model: how many comparable aircraft are for sale, and are values firming or softening? A "no" or "unknown" on any of these is not automatically a decline. It is a reason to adjust loan-to-value, tenor or structure. What the appraisal scope should include When engaging an appraiser for a financing, ask for a scope that covers: A market study: inventory, absorption, days on market and price dispersion for the model. Comparable analysis with explicit serial-number adjustments. Maintenance-adjusted FMV, OLV and FLV, each with stated assumptions. A depreciation forecast with sensitivity to rates and utilization. A liquidity assessment with expected time-to-sale bands. A records review summary and exception list. The bottom line Aircraft remain durable collateral, but value dispersion between individual serial numbers has widened as inventories have normalized and the cost of capital has stayed elevated. In that environment, the lenders who protect their portfolios are the ones who underwrite the specific aircraft, not the category. The next article in this series looks at the single largest driver of that difference: maintenance economics. David Fisher is the owner of Western Aviation in Houston and a Senior Accredited Appraiser with the American Society of Appraisers (ASA). He has more than 40 years of experience valuing business jets, turboprops and helicopters, and his reports are USPAP compliant.
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